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Event cube..how?

Discussion in 'Archive 2.0' started by goduole, Dec 12, 2016.

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  1. goduole

    goduole User

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    How this event can be fair, when PoisionNBG won it 3times and Kengaa like 3-4 times, only top players can with this? ..
     
  2. MrOurk

    MrOurk User

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    Dunno about Poison since the only time I remember him winning it was in Fantasy Island and it was 7s, the rest someone from TH can confirm but I think it's more like trolling (small tip, you can check real winner in the pigs head as green title, the one there is the one who won), but Kengaa didn't win them 100% for sure, we're just trolling him and he's trolling all of you who can't even check who the real winner is w/o crying
     
  3. goduole

    goduole User

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    ohh, mby, didint notice that title :D
     
  4. iArawn

    iArawn User

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    #confirmed
     
  5. iVoid

    iVoid User

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    kengaa is taking 3/4 from the rewards daily ,unless he decides to take all of them.
     
  6. iArawn

    iArawn User

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    #confirmed
     
  7. MrScubba

    MrScubba User

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    Just don t believe everything what you see on hero/global chat.
    Personally I saw few randoms / BA members winning, and there was no reason to think they were someone's boxes.
     
  8. St0ne

    St0ne User

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    /Confirmed
     
  9. Elesmira

    Elesmira User

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    If tyrant decides to win he wins. Deal with it.
     
  10. Padj1l

    Padj1l User

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    I know one lucky ******* who won twice already, probably cheating :D
     
  11. escalibran

    escalibran User

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    It's Kengatax
    Everytime somebody picks up an item on core, Kenga gets 25%. So when 4 players get talisman insanity from event, Kenga gets one too.

    Don't ask. It just werks.
     
  12. St0ne

    St0ne User

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    Well,

    What r the odds that this same person win it twice? ;)
     
  13. MrOurk

    MrOurk User

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    (1/numberofparticipants)*(1/numberofparticipants) // numbers of participants in both cases can be different
    Since there are people that got items from mobs with 0.00009 chance why couldn't someone get 2 rewards in same event? It's extremely lucky for sure, but still in the range of possibilities
     
  14. Takanodan

    Takanodan User

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    if there are 500 toons, 1/500 to win once.. 1/500 x 1/500 = 1/250000, I think..
    If you consider that there'll be 52 prizes, I'm guessing 1/250.000 x 52.. so around 0,0208%

    Not sure, been a lot of time since I did this kind of math..
     
  15. St0ne

    St0ne User

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    Just asking ,bcoz that incredible thing has happened ydy in Fantasy ;) Same person twice! Lucker ;)
     
  16. __JTB

    __JTB User

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    Deal with it, there are people with that much luck. Search the net: Even in real lottery there are many occasions that someone wins the jackpot twice.

    Here someone calculated that what is the chance that there will be a two time winner on the UK lottery in the next 30 years: http://www.ucl.ac.uk/~ucahjmt/itwontbeyou.html
    It's 60%!!! And we have way better chances in this event than the UK lottery.

    EDIT: Let's assume that there are 500 participants in each cube event, and someone participates on all 52 of them. The chance of this particular person to win any of those is 52x(1/500). That's 10,4%!!!
    To win any another event is 51x(1/500).
    So the chance of a particular invidual winning any two of the cube events if (s)he participates on all of them is (51x52)/(500x500). That's 1,0608%.
     
    Last edited: Dec 14, 2016
  17. Padj1l

    Padj1l User

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    If i remember well my maths, i think you have X participants, you need sqrt(x) repetition to reach 50% probability that someone wins twice. Cant remember the demonstration tho. So if i'm not wrong it's not that surprising that someone won twice.
     
  18. Leckter

    Leckter User

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    Thanks to people like you, lottery will always be a profitable business :D
     
    Seivlas and Hax like this.
  19. Seivlas

    Seivlas User

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    So according to you, if there are 500 pigs, you have 100% chance to have a reward ? sounds kinda wrong isn t it ? :p

    Probability to win = 1 - probability to lose.

    In this case, with 27 tries (a char cannot participate in the 2 at the same time and not calculating multiboxing) your probability to lose all is (499/500)^27 (about 94.738%)

    So with 500 paricipants you have 5.262% to win a prize.
     
  20. 1Damage

    1Damage User

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    There's another calculation you didn't consider yet.
    Sleep until 15:00 = 0% chance to win anything from this "event", but it's so nice to wake up when others are comming back from work, isn't? ))))))
     
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