In this experiment, the chance of receiving Enhanced Shadow Ingot for “Blacksmiths Soul – 3” quest is going to be estimated. During the experiment, “Blacksmiths Soul – 3” quest was completed 100 times. Enhanced Shadow Ingot was received only 22 times. Summary: As it can be seen from the results, the chance to receive Enhanced Shadow Ingot in our case was 22%. Therefore, it seems that the quest should be done approximately 4-5 times to receive the item.