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Event cube..how?

Discussion in 'Archive 2.0' started by goduole, Dec 12, 2016.

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  1. Seivlas

    Seivlas User

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    If waking up early on my off days always gives me an insanity talisman, I am never going to wake up after 8:30 :D
     
  2. 1Damage

    1Damage User

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    I hate you so much.
     
  3. St0ne

    St0ne User

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    So tru,so unfair for working class ,QQ!
     
  4. __JTB

    __JTB User

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    Oh, you are right.
    I included boxing because you admited that it is possible to win with using a macro. :D

    Ok, let's see it again: winning any 2 of the events using 1 char: (1-(499/500)^27)*(1-(499/500)^26) that is about 0,27%. Still doesn't look impossible to win twice.
     
  5. Padj1l

    Padj1l User

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    The probability that someone wins twice is much higher than the probability that 1 particular individual wins twice tho.

    If I apply this formula that i found on wikipedia for the probability of finding the same result twice when taking 28 ( number of winners) random elements in an ensemble of 500 ( number of total players supposedly participating) :

    P(28) ~ 1- exp ( -(28*27)/(2*500)) = 0, 53 . (This is an approximated value)

    So if i'm not fully wrong, it's actually quite likely that 1 person will win twice, assuming that everyone plays on every events.

    I'm sorry, could only find the article in french, see " generalisation " paragraph : https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paradoxe_des_anniversaires
     
  6. Seivlas

    Seivlas User

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    It reminds me a funny experiment. If you put 30 people in a room, you've more than 50% chance to have 2 ppl having the same birthday
     
  7. Padj1l

    Padj1l User

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    Thats exactly what i linked :p
     
  8. MrOurk

    MrOurk User

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    It's not like that, if you put 31 people in same room, 2 of them at least will have birthday the same day because 31/30 (if we count 1 month as 30) > 1
     
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