1. This site uses cookies. By continuing to use this site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Learn More.
  2. Discord Support team Facebook l2central.info

Event cube..how?

Discussion in 'Archive 2.0' started by goduole, Dec 12, 2016.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. Seivlas

    Seivlas User

    Joined:
    27.05.14
    Messages:
    1,009
    Likes Received:
    217
    If waking up early on my off days always gives me an insanity talisman, I am never going to wake up after 8:30 :D
     
  2. 1Damage

    1Damage User

    Joined:
    17.07.16
    Messages:
    208
    Likes Received:
    41
    I hate you so much.
     
  3. St0ne

    St0ne User

    Joined:
    31.12.11
    Messages:
    1,053
    Likes Received:
    72
    So tru,so unfair for working class ,QQ!
     
  4. __JTB

    __JTB User

    Joined:
    08.12.11
    Messages:
    122
    Likes Received:
    47
    Oh, you are right.
    I included boxing because you admited that it is possible to win with using a macro. :D

    Ok, let's see it again: winning any 2 of the events using 1 char: (1-(499/500)^27)*(1-(499/500)^26) that is about 0,27%. Still doesn't look impossible to win twice.
     
  5. Padj1l

    Padj1l User

    Joined:
    15.08.14
    Messages:
    525
    Likes Received:
    239
    The probability that someone wins twice is much higher than the probability that 1 particular individual wins twice tho.

    If I apply this formula that i found on wikipedia for the probability of finding the same result twice when taking 28 ( number of winners) random elements in an ensemble of 500 ( number of total players supposedly participating) :

    P(28) ~ 1- exp ( -(28*27)/(2*500)) = 0, 53 . (This is an approximated value)

    So if i'm not fully wrong, it's actually quite likely that 1 person will win twice, assuming that everyone plays on every events.

    I'm sorry, could only find the article in french, see " generalisation " paragraph : https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paradoxe_des_anniversaires
     
  6. Seivlas

    Seivlas User

    Joined:
    27.05.14
    Messages:
    1,009
    Likes Received:
    217
    It reminds me a funny experiment. If you put 30 people in a room, you've more than 50% chance to have 2 ppl having the same birthday
     
  7. Padj1l

    Padj1l User

    Joined:
    15.08.14
    Messages:
    525
    Likes Received:
    239
    Thats exactly what i linked :p
     
  8. MrOurk

    MrOurk User

    Joined:
    25.04.16
    Messages:
    1,152
    Likes Received:
    160
    It's not like that, if you put 31 people in same room, 2 of them at least will have birthday the same day because 31/30 (if we count 1 month as 30) > 1
     
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.