Homunculus Experiment №189: Chances of summonning different ranks Homunculus

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Goal: determine the chances of summoning Homunculus of different ranks.

During the experiment 200 Homunculus were summoned.

Results:

     

Homunculi	100	100	All together	Summonning chances
General
Chuchu	13	11	24	12,0%
Churing	24	13	37	18,5%
Pallo	16	9	25	12,5%
Ayri	12	15	27	13,5%
Tana	13	12	25	12,5%
Advanced
Water Churing	5	7	12	6,0%
Water Tana	4	7	11	5,5%
Water Chuchu	1	6	7	3,5%
Water Ayri	4	4	8	4,0%
Water Pallo	2	8	10	5,0%
Top-grade
Luminous Ayri	3	1	4	2,0%
Luminous Chuchu	1	2	3	1,5%
Luminous Tana	-	1	1	0,5%
Luminous Pallo	-	3	3	1,5%
Luminous Churing	2	1	3	1,5%

Conclusion: as the results show, the chances for different ranks are: Luminous Homunculus - 7%, Water Homunculus - 24%, General Homunculus - 69%.

 

dead game

 

Kinda useless and lazy experiment, given 15 different results 200 repetitions is far from being enough and statistical significance is ZERO, sample size should have been around 2000-3000 repetitions. However knowing how this ******ed game works we can make use of those results to come to some logic conclusions, if we assume every homunculus has equal chance of being summoned then the different results of the experiment become 3 (general/advanced/top) which gives us a large enough sample to draw conclusions with some statistical signifficance.

General has 12+18.5+12.5+13.5+12.5= 69 with 5 different there is a 13.8% average chance to get each
in the same way, advanced (6+5.5+3.5+4+5)/5=4.8% each, top (2+1.5+0.5+1.5+1.5)/5=1.4% each.
Now we can round those numbers up to 13.5%, 4.5%, 1.5% wich still adds up to 20%, then offcourse 5x20% is 100% u see where this is going... and furthermore we can notice that 3x1.5%=4.5% and 3x4.5%=13.5%.

Conclusion: each different type has an equal 20% chance of being summoned, with top 1.5%, mid 4.5% and normal 13.5%, each grade being 3 times more common than the next.

Further notice: We see that advanced Tana comes at a 5.5% chance on this experiment which is high compared to other advanced, but has a low chance compared to the rest for normal (12.5%) and top grade (0.5%), which offcourse makes no sense because if one type was more common than others this should be the same on all (normal/mid/top) grades.

Do you pay people to make those experiments? Because if you do I could do their job, but properly.

 

And for those who do understand mathematics, before you make any comments the exact numbers are Top 1.53846%, Mid 4.61538%, Low 13.846153 (sum 19.999993).